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SA manufacturers express optimism as activity strengthens

Dayo Odufuwa by Dayo Odufuwa
January 8, 2024
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South Africa’s manufacturers finally enjoyed a festive season boost, with sentiment turning positive for the first time in eight months. Absa’s Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) jumped to 50.9 in December, exceeding the 50 mark that separates expansion from contraction, according to a statement Monday.

This welcome uptick from November’s 48.2 came primarily from surging business activity, which hit 51.4, its highest level since April. Factories hummed throughout the holiday period, suggesting strong demand for goods. However, a slight dip in new orders (46.3) could hint at potential future slowdown.

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“While December’s PMI is a positive sign, it’s important to remember that challenges still remain,” said Mike Davies, Absa’s head of research for Africa. “Logistical bottlenecks are a major concern, with Transnet’s ongoing issues pushing up costs and impacting profitability for manufacturers.”

While South Africa managed to avoid the worst of rolling blackouts thanks to increased reliance on self-generation, Transnet’s struggles at ports and on rail lines continue to cause headaches. These delays and rising costs put a dent in manufacturer optimism, casting a shadow on the industry’s long-term recovery.

“Ensuring reliable energy supply and resolving Transnet’s operational issues are key priorities for the sector to maintain this positive momentum,” added Davies. “The government needs to address these challenges quickly to secure a truly smooth sailing environment for South African manufacturers.”

The December PMI offers a glimmer of hope for the sector, but the road ahead remains bumpy. Addressing logistical bottlenecks and securing energy stability will be critical to sustain this newfound cheer and ensure a brighter future for South Africa’s manufacturing industry.

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