by Nurat Uthman
Somaliland opposition leader Abdirahman Cirro defeated incumbent president Muse Bihi Abdi in last week’s election, the electoral commission said on Tuesday, setting up a leadership change as the breakaway Somali region pushes for global recognition.
Somaliland has had de facto self-rule since declaring independencefrom Somalia in 1991, but has not been recognised by any country, restricting access to international finance and the ability of its six million people to travel.
Cirro, leader of the opposition Waddani party, won 64% of the vote against Bihi’s 35%, said Musa Hassan, chairman of the Somaliland Electoral Commission.
Occupyinga strategic location at the juncture of the Indian Ocean and Red Sea, Somaliland seesinternational recognition as being within reach after signing a preliminary deal with landlocked Ethiopia in January that would grant Addis Ababa a strip of land on its coast in exchange for recognition.
The capital Hargeisais also hopeful that the incoming U.S. administrationof President-election Donald Trump will be favourable to its cause. Several leading Africa policy officials from Trump’s first term have voiced support for recognising Somaliland.
Somaliland has enjoyed a comparative period of peace since achieving autonomy three decades ago, just as Somalia plunged into a civil war from which it has yet to emerge.
While Cirro has signalled broad support for the preliminary pactwith Ethiopia, his commitment to implementing it is not clear. Some analysts suspect he could be more open to dialogue with Somalia’s government, which opposes the agreement.
The deal has soured Mogadishu’s relations with Ethiopia, a major contributor towards a peacekeeping force in Somalia fighting Islamist militants there, and drawn Somalia closer to Ethiopia’s historic rivals, Egypt and Eritrea.
“While I think there are concerns that (Cirro) may opt for a radical departure from his predecessor, jettison the MOU, embrace dialogue with Somalia, there’s a big difference between campaigning and governing,” said Matt Bryden, a strategic adviser with the Sahan think-tank.
